It’s very impressive that of the 31 games the Yankees have played that were decided by four or more runs, they’ve won 27 of them. They’ve lost money facing National League teams and the Astros, so keep that in mind come the postseason. The Yanks have actually lost money on the road, but are 38-12 at home. NY Yankees (+15.3) - The best team in baseball has also turned a nice profit. The fact the Mets are 9-1 in games decided in extra innings shows there’s been a little bit of luck going their way. Unlike Baltimore, the Mets haven’t been very profitable as underdogs, but they are 49-23 as favorites (+15.3), which accounts for most of the profitability. It remains to be seen if NY can capture the pennant this season, but I do expect at least a playoff berth. NY Mets (+16.7) - Last August was when the Mets tanked and ceded the NL East to the eventual World Series Champion Braves. Except when they face the Yankees on the road, Baltimore isn’t likely to be +200 or higher on the money line many more times. Take those games away (they are 5-13) and they are even more profitable. They’ve actually been an underdog of +200 or more 18 times, a greater number than how many times they’ve been favored. Oddsmakers have had them favored in only 16 games all season, but that could start to change. They’ve also lost just five times in the last 20 games. Most Profitable (All numbers accurate as of 7/29)īaltimore (+20.8 units) - Not only have the Orioles been the best team to bet during the 2022 MLB season, but they have a winning record! This despite having a payroll (excluding money still owed to Chris Davis) that is lower than Max Scherzer’s 2022 salary! Where have the O’s excelled most? Well, at home, where they are up 16.7 units. We’re almost through July, so let’s check on which teams have been the most profitable to bet on (and which have burned bettors the most). With a moderate total today and a pair of struggling starters, I am looking for more than an average number of runs scored. Add to that a Nationals' bullpen with an ERA of just under five in recent games. Even with that flurry of good starts, Corbin's ERA is still 5.75 in his last 7 appearances. After three straight quality starts, Corbin reverted to form in his last appearance, giving up 5 runs on 12 hits. Left-hander Patrick Corbin starts for the Nat's. The Nationals, also 5-6 in September, are a poor home team but are hitting very well at the moment (.300/.789 last two weeks). Orioles' starter Tyler Wells has struggled lately, with an ERA of 5.06 in his last seven starts, and 11 runs given up over just 11 innings in his last three. They are not as effective on the road, but do dominate left-handed pitching. The Orioles have had it tough in September, winning just 5 of 11, and losing ground in the wild card race. Orioles' starter Tyler Wells has struggled lately, with an ERA of 5.06 in his last seven starts, and 11 runs gi.
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